Wednesday webinar at one: Don't optimise, satisfice! (Fully Booked)
Wed 18 Sep 19 at WEBINAR, Link will be emailed closer to the time

Navigating uncertainty using scenario thinking

Stefan Lundbergh says that to safely navigate uncertainty in a complex world, we should not seek to maximise the investment return; instead we should maximise the confidence that we can reach the goal under a wide range of potential outcomes.

Stefan will illustrate how a satisficing approach can be applied to managing the balance sheet of a defined benefit pension scheme. This includes de-risking the contract design and re-risking the investment portfolio. By using scenario thinking and seeking true diversification, the schemes balance sheet will become more robust against our own ignorance. The price to be paid, is that we introduce complicated, but manageable, operational risks.

Stefan Lundbergh
Director, Cardano Insights

Stefan Lundbergh is Director of Cardano Insights and until recently a non-executive board member of the Fourth Swedish National Pension Fund (AP4). In the summer of 2017, he headed a reviewed the Swedish premium pension system. In his past he held various positions at APG in the Netherlands and Skandia Life Insurance Company in Sweden. He holds a PhD from Stockholm School of Economics.

When and where?

Wednesday 18 September 19

Registration: 12:55
Event: 13:00 - 13:40

WEBINAR, Online, Link will be emailed closer to the time
View map | View directions

Nearest tube station
TFL journey planner

Member - £0
Non-member - £20

This is eligible for 0.75 CPD hours